Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 21°C recorded early on May 6, 2026, at the headquarters station in Kowloon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome amid mainly cloudy conditions and lingering showers from upper-air disturbances. These factors moderated overnight lows below May's climatological norms of 23–25°C, as observed in prior days' warmer readings. The data aligns with intraday observations and regional reports, where nearby stations like Tai Mei Tuk dipped to 20°C but the primary HKO site governs resolution. Revisions to verified observations are exceedingly rare, though discrepancies in automated versus manual readings could theoretically prompt review; traders await final daily summary for absolute closure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,048 Vol.
$44,048 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,048 Vol.
$44,048 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 21°C recorded early on May 6, 2026, at the headquarters station in Kowloon, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome amid mainly cloudy conditions and lingering showers from upper-air disturbances. These factors moderated overnight lows below May's climatological norms of 23–25°C, as observed in prior days' warmer readings. The data aligns with intraday observations and regional reports, where nearby stations like Tai Mei Tuk dipped to 20°C but the primary HKO site governs resolution. Revisions to verified observations are exceedingly rare, though discrepancies in automated versus manual readings could theoretically prompt review; traders await final daily summary for absolute closure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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