**Market-implied odds favor a 27°C minimum on September 25, 2026, at 55.5%, with 26°C next at 28.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily range of 27–32°C under moderating northeast monsoon conditions, with mainly fine weather, east to southeast winds of force 3, low rain probability, and dry daytime conditions. Recent model consensus shows limited overnight cooling due to persistent humidity, partial cloud cover in the morning and evening, and typical urban heat retention, keeping overnight lows near the 27°C threshold. Minor downside risk to 25–26°C exists if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling, but current steering patterns and pressure fields make cooler outcomes less likely. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 25 settembre?
27°C 56%
28°C 32%
26°C 28%
21°C o inferiore 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
24%
22°C
20%
23°C
22%
24°C
12%
25°C
16%
26°C
28%
27°C
56%
28°C
32%
29°C
22%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
27°C 56%
28°C 32%
26°C 28%
21°C o inferiore 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$197 Vol.
56%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$16 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds favor a 27°C minimum on September 25, 2026, at 55.5%, with 26°C next at 28.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily range of 27–32°C under moderating northeast monsoon conditions, with mainly fine weather, east to southeast winds of force 3, low rain probability, and dry daytime conditions. Recent model consensus shows limited overnight cooling due to persistent humidity, partial cloud cover in the morning and evening, and typical urban heat retention, keeping overnight lows near the 27°C threshold. Minor downside risk to 25–26°C exists if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling, but current steering patterns and pressure fields make cooler outcomes less likely. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$219Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds favor a 27°C minimum on September 25, 2026, at 55.5%, with 26°C next at 28.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily range of 27–32°C under moderating northeast monsoon conditions, with mainly fine weather, east to southeast winds of force 3, low rain probability, and dry daytime conditions. Recent model consensus shows limited overnight cooling due to persistent humidity, partial cloud cover in the morning and evening, and typical urban heat retention, keeping overnight lows near the 27°C threshold. Minor downside risk to 25–26°C exists if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling, but current steering patterns and pressure fields make cooler outcomes less likely. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$219Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a 27°C minimum on September 25, 2026, at 55.5%, with 26°C next at 28.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily range of 27–32°C under moderating northeast monsoon conditions, with mainly fine weather, east to southeast winds of force 3, low rain probability, and dry daytime conditions. Recent model consensus shows limited overnight cooling due to persistent humidity, partial cloud cover in the morning and evening, and typical urban heat retention, keeping overnight lows near the 27°C threshold. Minor downside risk to 25–26°C exists if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling, but current steering patterns and pressure fields make cooler outcomes less likely. Updated HKO guidance and any late model runs ahead of the date remain key variables for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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