Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles project a nighttime minimum of 25°C on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, light variable winds, and high humidity near 85 percent that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatological baselines of 25–26°C lows and supports the market-implied 98 percent odds on 25°C as the dominant consensus. Minor model spread around 24–27°C exists but remains narrow given stable steering patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Clearer skies or a brief wind shift could allow 1–2°C additional cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation before daily minimum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 settembre?
25°C 98%
24°C 2.5%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
NUOVO
$16,664 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,664 Vol.
6 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 2.5%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
NUOVO
$16,664 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,664 Vol.
6 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$176 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$853 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,890 Vol.
98%
26°C
$3,773 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,248 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,799 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles project a nighttime minimum of 25°C on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, light variable winds, and high humidity near 85 percent that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatological baselines of 25–26°C lows and supports the market-implied 98 percent odds on 25°C as the dominant consensus. Minor model spread around 24–27°C exists but remains narrow given stable steering patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Clearer skies or a brief wind shift could allow 1–2°C additional cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation before daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$16,664Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles project a nighttime minimum of 25°C on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, light variable winds, and high humidity near 85 percent that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatological baselines of 25–26°C lows and supports the market-implied 98 percent odds on 25°C as the dominant consensus. Minor model spread around 24–27°C exists but remains narrow given stable steering patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Clearer skies or a brief wind shift could allow 1–2°C additional cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation before daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,664Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles project a nighttime minimum of 25°C on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, light variable winds, and high humidity near 85 percent that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatological baselines of 25–26°C lows and supports the market-implied 98 percent odds on 25°C as the dominant consensus. Minor model spread around 24–27°C exists but remains narrow given stable steering patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Clearer skies or a brief wind shift could allow 1–2°C additional cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of deviation before daily minimum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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