**Clear, dry conditions under high pressure are expected to drive Jinan’s overnight low on September 2, 2026, into the 17–18 °C range according to the latest model consensus.** Northeast winds of 4–8 mph, low humidity (30–40 %), and minimal cloud cover overnight will promote efficient radiative cooling, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows fall from ~21 °C at the start of the month toward 16–18 °C by mid-month. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and regional models shows no incoming cold front or significant moisture that would alter this trajectory in the next 24 hours. The market’s elevated probability on 22 °C or higher (48.5 %) versus clustered odds around 14–21 °C (each ~25 %) reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model spread, while near-zero odds below 13 °C align with the absence of any cold-air advection. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF overnight will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 2 settembre?
22°C o superiore 98%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C o meno
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C o superiore
98%
22°C o superiore 98%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C o meno
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C o superiore
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, dry conditions under high pressure are expected to drive Jinan’s overnight low on September 2, 2026, into the 17–18 °C range according to the latest model consensus.** Northeast winds of 4–8 mph, low humidity (30–40 %), and minimal cloud cover overnight will promote efficient radiative cooling, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows fall from ~21 °C at the start of the month toward 16–18 °C by mid-month. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and regional models shows no incoming cold front or significant moisture that would alter this trajectory in the next 24 hours. The market’s elevated probability on 22 °C or higher (48.5 %) versus clustered odds around 14–21 °C (each ~25 %) reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model spread, while near-zero odds below 13 °C align with the absence of any cold-air advection. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF overnight will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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