**Forecast models indicate overnight lows for London on September 22, 2026, clustered around 14–16°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution favoring 15°C (41.5%) and 14°C (35.0%).** A broad area of high pressure is maintaining light winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, promoting radiational cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C. Dew points around 11–13°C limit how far temperatures can fall, while urban heat island effects in central London add a slight warming bias. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any residual cloud, subtle variations in wind speed (calmer conditions favor deeper cooling), and the precise strength of the nocturnal inversion. Authoritative guidance from the Met Office currently points toward a 16°C minimum, while other ensembles and statistical guidance trend a degree or two cooler. With resolution imminent, the next model runs and observational updates will likely narrow the spread further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 22 settembre?
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
10°C o inferiore
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
35%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C o superiore
2%
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
10°C o inferiore
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
35%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate overnight lows for London on September 22, 2026, clustered around 14–16°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution favoring 15°C (41.5%) and 14°C (35.0%).** A broad area of high pressure is maintaining light winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, promoting radiational cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C. Dew points around 11–13°C limit how far temperatures can fall, while urban heat island effects in central London add a slight warming bias. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any residual cloud, subtle variations in wind speed (calmer conditions favor deeper cooling), and the precise strength of the nocturnal inversion. Authoritative guidance from the Met Office currently points toward a 16°C minimum, while other ensembles and statistical guidance trend a degree or two cooler. With resolution imminent, the next model runs and observational updates will likely narrow the spread further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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