Official forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Madrid on August 21, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight promote radiative cooling from the surface, while Madrid’s urban heat island and 650 m elevation moderate the drop compared with surrounding rural areas. Low humidity and a typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer highs further support this range, though small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Madrid il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Madrid il 21 agosto?
17°C 64%
16°C 48%
19°C 34%
18°C 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
48%
17°C
64%
18°C
33%
19°C
34%
20°C
35%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 64%
16°C 48%
19°C 34%
18°C 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
$90 Vol.
1%
15°C
$114 Vol.
1%
16°C
$94 Vol.
48%
17°C
$66 Vol.
64%
18°C
$21 Vol.
33%
19°C
$0 Vol.
34%
20°C
$30 Vol.
35%
21°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Madrid on August 21, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight promote radiative cooling from the surface, while Madrid’s urban heat island and 650 m elevation moderate the drop compared with surrounding rural areas. Low humidity and a typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer highs further support this range, though small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,162Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Madrid on August 21, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight promote radiative cooling from the surface, while Madrid’s urban heat island and 650 m elevation moderate the drop compared with surrounding rural areas. Low humidity and a typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer highs further support this range, though small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,162Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Madrid on August 21, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight promote radiative cooling from the surface, while Madrid’s urban heat island and 650 m elevation moderate the drop compared with surrounding rural areas. Low humidity and a typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer highs further support this range, though small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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