Current forecast consensus from models points to a typical August overnight low near 12–13°C in Mexico City, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation promoting radiative cooling after daytime heating, combined with moist air from the ongoing rainy season and variable afternoon/evening showers that can suppress or enhance nighttime temperature drops depending on cloud cover and timing. Trader odds remain closely bunched because small differences in model guidance for wind, cloud persistence, or localized rainfall can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while historical August lows rarely fall below 10°C or exceed 14°C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 25 agosto?
9°C o inferiore 53%
14°C 50%
19°C o superiore 33%
13°C 26%
9°C o inferiore
53%
10°C
8%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
17%
18°C
13%
19°C o superiore
33%
9°C o inferiore 53%
14°C 50%
19°C o superiore 33%
13°C 26%
9°C o inferiore
53%
10°C
8%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
17%
18°C
13%
19°C o superiore
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models points to a typical August overnight low near 12–13°C in Mexico City, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation promoting radiative cooling after daytime heating, combined with moist air from the ongoing rainy season and variable afternoon/evening showers that can suppress or enhance nighttime temperature drops depending on cloud cover and timing. Trader odds remain closely bunched because small differences in model guidance for wind, cloud persistence, or localized rainfall can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while historical August lows rarely fall below 10°C or exceed 14°C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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