Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance centers the overnight low in Paris near 14–15°C for August 21 as cooler air advects in behind recent warmth. This positions 15°C and 14°C as the closest market outcomes because radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine whether the minimum settles at the higher or lower end of that range. Typical late-August climatology supports 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, while small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the two leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 21 agosto?
15°C 41%
14°C 37%
13°C 16%
16°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
16%
14°C
37%
15°C
41%
16°C
11%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 41%
14°C 37%
13°C 16%
16°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$158 Vol.
1%
12°C
$19 Vol.
7%
13°C
$514 Vol.
16%
14°C
$1,951 Vol.
37%
15°C
$381 Vol.
41%
16°C
$160 Vol.
11%
17°C
$445 Vol.
5%
18°C
$740 Vol.
1%
19°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance centers the overnight low in Paris near 14–15°C for August 21 as cooler air advects in behind recent warmth. This positions 15°C and 14°C as the closest market outcomes because radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine whether the minimum settles at the higher or lower end of that range. Typical late-August climatology supports 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, while small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the two leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$4,961Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance centers the overnight low in Paris near 14–15°C for August 21 as cooler air advects in behind recent warmth. This positions 15°C and 14°C as the closest market outcomes because radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine whether the minimum settles at the higher or lower end of that range. Typical late-August climatology supports 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, while small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the two leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,961Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance centers the overnight low in Paris near 14–15°C for August 21 as cooler air advects in behind recent warmth. This positions 15°C and 14°C as the closest market outcomes because radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine whether the minimum settles at the higher or lower end of that range. Typical late-August climatology supports 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, while small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the two leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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