Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to overnight lows in Paris around 18–19°C on August 26, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near those values. Late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and moderating Atlantic air, limits further drops while preventing strong daytime heat retention. Typical late-August climatology shows average lows of 14–16°C, but current model consensus favors milder conditions due to reduced clear-sky nocturnal cooling and lingering moisture. Traders weigh short-range ensemble guidance from agencies like Météo-France against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum in official daily observations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 26 agosto?
19°C 50%
18°C 48%
20°C 45%
17°C 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
15%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
33%
18°C
48%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C o superiore
10%
19°C 50%
18°C 48%
20°C 45%
17°C 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
$20 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
33%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C o superiore
$20 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to overnight lows in Paris around 18–19°C on August 26, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near those values. Late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and moderating Atlantic air, limits further drops while preventing strong daytime heat retention. Typical late-August climatology shows average lows of 14–16°C, but current model consensus favors milder conditions due to reduced clear-sky nocturnal cooling and lingering moisture. Traders weigh short-range ensemble guidance from agencies like Météo-France against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum in official daily observations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$40Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to overnight lows in Paris around 18–19°C on August 26, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near those values. Late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and moderating Atlantic air, limits further drops while preventing strong daytime heat retention. Typical late-August climatology shows average lows of 14–16°C, but current model consensus favors milder conditions due to reduced clear-sky nocturnal cooling and lingering moisture. Traders weigh short-range ensemble guidance from agencies like Météo-France against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum in official daily observations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to overnight lows in Paris around 18–19°C on August 26, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near those values. Late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light southerly flow and moderating Atlantic air, limits further drops while preventing strong daytime heat retention. Typical late-August climatology shows average lows of 14–16°C, but current model consensus favors milder conditions due to reduced clear-sky nocturnal cooling and lingering moisture. Traders weigh short-range ensemble guidance from agencies like Météo-France against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum in official daily observations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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