Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a moderating trend for Paris on August 28, with a likely overnight low near 16–17°C under southwest flow, increasing clouds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the historical average low of 13.6°C while remaining well above extremes such as the 6.8°C record low. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 14–21°C, highlights model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift minimum readings by 2–4°C. Updated guidance ahead of the event will determine whether the night stays above or dips toward lower thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 28 agosto?
14°C 69%
15°C 69%
18°C 69%
19°C 69%
12°C o inferiore
36%
13°C
34%
14°C
69%
15°C
69%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
69%
19°C
69%
20°C
69%
21°C
69%
22°C o superiore
49%
14°C 69%
15°C 69%
18°C 69%
19°C 69%
12°C o inferiore
36%
13°C
34%
14°C
69%
15°C
69%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
69%
19°C
69%
20°C
69%
21°C
69%
22°C o superiore
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a moderating trend for Paris on August 28, with a likely overnight low near 16–17°C under southwest flow, increasing clouds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the historical average low of 13.6°C while remaining well above extremes such as the 6.8°C record low. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 14–21°C, highlights model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift minimum readings by 2–4°C. Updated guidance ahead of the event will determine whether the night stays above or dips toward lower thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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