Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in San Francisco on August 25 settling in the upper 50s amid a persistent marine layer and moderate westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports the market-implied 51.5% probability on 58-59°F and 35% on 56-57°F as the leading outcomes, consistent with the long-term August average low of 56°F and recent observations showing minimal day-to-day variation. Mostly cloudy skies and onshore winds are expected to hold temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing cooler drainage or warmer mixing. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily ahead of any final overnight observations that will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Francisco il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di San Francisco il 25 agosto?
58-59°F 52%
56-57°F 28%
52-53°F 17%
54-55°F 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
49°F o meno
15%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
17%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
52%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
2%
68°F o superiore
10%
58-59°F 52%
56-57°F 28%
52-53°F 17%
54-55°F 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
49°F o meno
$5 Vol.
15%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
15%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
17%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$11 Vol.
52%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
17%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
16%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
2%
68°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in San Francisco on August 25 settling in the upper 50s amid a persistent marine layer and moderate westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports the market-implied 51.5% probability on 58-59°F and 35% on 56-57°F as the leading outcomes, consistent with the long-term August average low of 56°F and recent observations showing minimal day-to-day variation. Mostly cloudy skies and onshore winds are expected to hold temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing cooler drainage or warmer mixing. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily ahead of any final overnight observations that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$31Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in San Francisco on August 25 settling in the upper 50s amid a persistent marine layer and moderate westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports the market-implied 51.5% probability on 58-59°F and 35% on 56-57°F as the leading outcomes, consistent with the long-term August average low of 56°F and recent observations showing minimal day-to-day variation. Mostly cloudy skies and onshore winds are expected to hold temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing cooler drainage or warmer mixing. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily ahead of any final overnight observations that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in San Francisco on August 25 settling in the upper 50s amid a persistent marine layer and moderate westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports the market-implied 51.5% probability on 58-59°F and 35% on 56-57°F as the leading outcomes, consistent with the long-term August average low of 56°F and recent observations showing minimal day-to-day variation. Mostly cloudy skies and onshore winds are expected to hold temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing cooler drainage or warmer mixing. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily ahead of any final overnight observations that will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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