Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 25 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 25 giugno?
20°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25 giu 2026
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25 giu 2026
15°C o inferiore
$705 Vol.
No
16°C
$675 Vol.
No
17°C
$937 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,255 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,440 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,594 Vol.
Sì
21°C
$2,015 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,029 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,269 Vol.
No
24°C
$370 Vol.
No
25°C o superiore
$337 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,625Data di fine
25 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,625Data di fine
25 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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