Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 16 agosto?
26°C 47%
25°C 42%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
42%
26°C
47%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 42%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$92 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$536 Vol.
1%
24°C
$746 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,784 Vol.
42%
26°C
$1,604 Vol.
47%
27°C
$197 Vol.
6%
28°C
$511 Vol.
2%
29°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,818Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,818Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers expected into August 16, keeping Shanghai’s minimum temperature tightly clustered near 25–26 °C. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points typical of the East Asian summer monsoon suppress the usual nocturnal drop, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief additional cooling toward the lower end of that range. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes and far lower probabilities to extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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