**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington l'11 settembre?
5°C 100.0%
3°C 2%
2°C o inferiore <1%
4°C <1%
$881 Vol.
$881 Vol.
11 set 2026
2°C o inferiore
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
Sì
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C o superiore
No
5°C 100.0%
3°C 2%
2°C o inferiore <1%
4°C <1%
$881 Vol.
$881 Vol.
11 set 2026
2°C o inferiore
$20 Vol.
No
3°C
$5 Vol.
No
4°C
$60 Vol.
No
5°C
$238 Vol.
Sì
6°C
$126 Vol.
No
7°C
$159 Vol.
No
8°C
$115 Vol.
No
9°C
$92 Vol.
No
10°C
$15 Vol.
No
11°C
$25 Vol.
No
12°C o superiore
$25 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$881Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$881Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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