Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a Wuhan minimum near 26–27°C on August 26, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention typical of late-summer monsoon conditions limit overnight temperature drops, while small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could produce 1–2°C variations. Two-day forecasts carry inherent spread from differing model physics, with historical August lows averaging 25–27°C providing context for the balanced trader sentiment across the listed brackets. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely tighten the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 26 agosto?
23°C or below 55%
33°C or higher 55%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
23°C or below
55%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
47%
31°C
2%
32°C
37%
33°C or higher
55%
23°C or below 55%
33°C or higher 55%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
55%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$0 Vol.
47%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
37%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a Wuhan minimum near 26–27°C on August 26, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention typical of late-summer monsoon conditions limit overnight temperature drops, while small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could produce 1–2°C variations. Two-day forecasts carry inherent spread from differing model physics, with historical August lows averaging 25–27°C providing context for the balanced trader sentiment across the listed brackets. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a Wuhan minimum near 26–27°C on August 26, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention typical of late-summer monsoon conditions limit overnight temperature drops, while small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could produce 1–2°C variations. Two-day forecasts carry inherent spread from differing model physics, with historical August lows averaging 25–27°C providing context for the balanced trader sentiment across the listed brackets. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a Wuhan minimum near 26–27°C on August 26, yet the closely matched market probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention typical of late-summer monsoon conditions limit overnight temperature drops, while small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could produce 1–2°C variations. Two-day forecasts carry inherent spread from differing model physics, with historical August lows averaging 25–27°C providing context for the balanced trader sentiment across the listed brackets. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely tighten the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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