Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou il 24 agosto?
25°C o superiore 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
24 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
Sì
25°C o superiore 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
24 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
$110 Vol.
No
16°C
$110 Vol.
No
17°C
$555 Vol.
No
18°C
$610 Vol.
No
19°C
$481 Vol.
No
20°C
$610 Vol.
No
21°C
$120 Vol.
No
22°C
$260 Vol.
No
23°C
$935 Vol.
No
24°C
$668 Vol.
No
25°C o superiore
$1,036 Vol.
Sì
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,493Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,493Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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