Skip to main content
icon for Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto

Simplício Araújo 43%

Fufuca 42%

Eliziane Gama 40%

Cidônio Gonçalves 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Simplício Araújo 43%

Fufuca 42%

Eliziane Gama 40%

Cidônio Gonçalves 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$0 Vol.

25%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Maranhão’s open Senate contest shows a fragmented field where Roseana Sarney holds a clear lead while four to five other registered candidates remain within the margin of error for second place. The August 15 close of candidacy registrations locked in an 11-candidate ballot that includes André Fufuca, Lahesio Bonfim, Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, Cidônio Gonçalves, and Dr. Hilton Gonçalo, each drawing support from overlapping regional and party bases. Lahesio Bonfim’s earlier shift from the gubernatorial race has further crowded the middle of the pack. With no dominant coalition or late surge evident in the latest IPPI and Véritas surveys, traders see limited separation until campaign advertising intensifies or additional alliances form ahead of October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Maranhão’s open Senate contest shows a fragmented field where Roseana Sarney holds a clear lead while four to five other registered candidates remain within the margin of error for second place. The August 15 close of candidacy registrations locked in an 11-candidate ballot that includes André Fufuca, Lahesio Bonfim, Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, Cidônio Gonçalves, and Dr. Hilton Gonçalo, each drawing support from overlapping regional and party bases. Lahesio Bonfim’s earlier shift from the gubernatorial race has further crowded the middle of the pack. With no dominant coalition or late surge evident in the latest IPPI and Véritas surveys, traders see limited separation until campaign advertising intensifies or additional alliances form ahead of October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

60%
icon for Rinaldo Júnior otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato della Paraíba del 2026?

Rinaldo Júnior otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato della Paraíba del 2026?

45%
Sì
icon for Coronel Darwin otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Mato Grosso del 2026?

Coronel Darwin otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Mato Grosso del 2026?

27%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Simplício Araújo" a 44%, seguito da "Fufuca" a 42%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" è "Simplício Araújo" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Fufuca" a 42%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.