Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato“Moana (2026)” 2° Weekend Box Office
“Moana (2026)” 2° Weekend Box Office
17,5-19 milioni 99.9%
<16 mln <1%
16-17,5 milioni <1%
19-20,5 milioni <1%
$35,356 Vol.
$35,356 Vol.
19 lug 2026
<16 mln
No
16-17,5 milioni
No
17,5-19 milioni
Sì
19-20,5 milioni
No
20,5-22 milioni
No
22 mln+
No
17,5-19 milioni 99.9%
<16 mln <1%
16-17,5 milioni <1%
19-20,5 milioni <1%
$35,356 Vol.
$35,356 Vol.
19 lug 2026
<16 mln
$5,429 Vol.
No
16-17,5 milioni
$8,349 Vol.
No
17,5-19 milioni
$9,484 Vol.
Sì
19-20,5 milioni
$10,549 Vol.
No
20,5-22 milioni
$1,057 Vol.
No
22 mln+
$488 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Volume
$35,356Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$35,356Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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