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Politica·Primarie

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

Brinker Harding 97.4%

Brett Lindstrom <1%

Dan Frei <1%

Polymarket

$30,061 Vol.

Brinker Harding 97.4%

Brett Lindstrom <1%

Dan Frei <1%

Polymarket

$30,061 Vol.

Brinker Harding

$5,760 Vol.

97%

Brett Lindstrom

$15,690 Vol.

1%

Dan Frei

$8,611 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 97.4% implied probability in the NE-02 Republican primary stems from President Trump's "Complete and Total Endorsement" on April 14 and a joint endorsement the same day from House GOP leaders including Speaker Mike Johnson, Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Whip Tom Emmer, and Conference Chair Lisa McClain, signaling unified party backing after incumbent Rep. Don Bacon's retirement. Harding's Q3 2025 fundraising lead over former State Sen. Brett Lindstrom and Dan Frei further entrenches his frontrunner status ahead of the May 12 primary. Upsets would require a major scandal, late-breaking endorsement for a challenger, or surprise polling, though high barriers and skin-in-the-game trader consensus make shifts unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$30,061
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 97.4% implied probability in the NE-02 Republican primary stems from President Trump's "Complete and Total Endorsement" on April 14 and a joint endorsement the same day from House GOP leaders including Speaker Mike Johnson, Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Whip Tom Emmer, and Conference Chair Lisa McClain, signaling unified party backing after incumbent Rep. Don Bacon's retirement. Harding's Q3 2025 fundraising lead over former State Sen. Brett Lindstrom and Dan Frei further entrenches his frontrunner status ahead of the May 12 primary. Upsets would require a major scandal, late-breaking endorsement for a challenger, or surprise polling, though high barriers and skin-in-the-game trader consensus make shifts unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$30,061
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Brinker Harding" a 97%, seguito da "Brett Lindstrom" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $30.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 26, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" è "Brinker Harding" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Brett Lindstrom" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.