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Politica·Primarie

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Dem-Rep 76%

Dem-Dem 21%

Rep-Rep 3.4%

Polymarket

$57,349 Vol.

Dem-Rep 76%

Dem-Dem 21%

Rep-Rep 3.4%

Polymarket

$57,349 Vol.

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? icon

Dem-Rep

$24,665 Vol.

76%

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? icon

Dem-Dem

$24,707 Vol.

21%

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party? icon

Rep-Rep

$7,977 Vol.

3%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democrat-Republican matchup (76%) advancing from California's top-two gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting recent polls where Republican Steve Hilton leads the RCP average at 15.5%, followed closely by Democrat Tom Steyer (13%) and ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell (12.5%), with Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco (R) at 11.8%. The California GOP convention on April 11-12 split endorsement votes nearly evenly between Hilton (44%) and Bianco (49%), preventing consolidation but underscoring Republican viability amid a fragmented Democratic field shaken by Swalwell's abrupt campaign setback last week. High undecided rates (20-25%) in polls like the April 8-10 KGTV/SurveyUSA survey, which had Steyer leading Hilton, sustain Dem-Dem odds at 21% while deeming Rep-Rep (3.4%) unlikely given the state's partisan lean.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$57,349
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democrat-Republican matchup (76%) advancing from California's top-two gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting recent polls where Republican Steve Hilton leads the RCP average at 15.5%, followed closely by Democrat Tom Steyer (13%) and ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell (12.5%), with Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco (R) at 11.8%. The California GOP convention on April 11-12 split endorsement votes nearly evenly between Hilton (44%) and Bianco (49%), preventing consolidation but underscoring Republican viability amid a fragmented Democratic field shaken by Swalwell's abrupt campaign setback last week. High undecided rates (20-25%) in polls like the April 8-10 KGTV/SurveyUSA survey, which had Steyer leading Hilton, sustain Dem-Dem odds at 21% while deeming Rep-Rep (3.4%) unlikely given the state's partisan lean.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$57,349
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Domande frequenti

"Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Dem-Rep" a 76%, seguito da "Dem-Dem" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 76¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" ha generato $57.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 22, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" è "Dem-Rep" a 76%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dem-Dem" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.