The Oklahoma U.S. Senate race features Republican nominee Kevin Hern against the Democratic runoff winner between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas, with the contest rated solidly Republican and lacking the intensity of battleground contests. This dynamic, combined with Oklahoma's historically low voter participation rates in both primaries and generals, contributes to trader uncertainty reflected in near-even probabilities across turnout bins from under 900,000 to 1.4 million-plus. Key variables include party mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 general election, the impact of the August 25 Democratic runoff on base enthusiasm, early and absentee voting access, and Election Day conditions. Absent major shifts in registration trends or national salience, these factors sustain the balanced market view on total ballots cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni del Senato dell'Oklahoma: affluenza alle urne
Elezioni del Senato dell'Oklahoma: affluenza alle urne
<900K 44%
900K-1M 44%
1M-1,1M 44%
1,1M-1,2M 44%
<900K
44%
900K-1M
44%
1M-1,1M
44%
1,1M-1,2M
44%
1,2M-1,3M
44%
1,3M-1,4M
44%
1,4M+
44%
<900K 44%
900K-1M 44%
1M-1,1M 44%
1,1M-1,2M 44%
<900K
44%
900K-1M
44%
1M-1,1M
44%
1,1M-1,2M
44%
1,2M-1,3M
44%
1,3M-1,4M
44%
1,4M+
44%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Oklahoma U.S. Senate race features Republican nominee Kevin Hern against the Democratic runoff winner between Jim Priest and N'Kiyla Thomas, with the contest rated solidly Republican and lacking the intensity of battleground contests. This dynamic, combined with Oklahoma's historically low voter participation rates in both primaries and generals, contributes to trader uncertainty reflected in near-even probabilities across turnout bins from under 900,000 to 1.4 million-plus. Key variables include party mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 general election, the impact of the August 25 Democratic runoff on base enthusiasm, early and absentee voting access, and Election Day conditions. Absent major shifts in registration trends or national salience, these factors sustain the balanced market view on total ballots cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del Kansas sarà inferiore a 800.000?
Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore dell'Oregon sarà compreso tra 1.800.000 e 1.900.000?
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