Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite a short-lived 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12. Both sides accused each other of thousands of violations during the pause, with the Kremlin refusing extension absent Kyiv's concessions on core demands like territorial control, blocking de-escalation. Recent US-Ukraine-Russia Geneva meetings yielded Zelenskyy signals of limited progress amid political stalemate, while Russian advances grind slowly in the east and Ukrainian counteractions hold in the southeast. Prisoner swaps preceded the truce, but incompatible negotiating positions—Russia rejecting line-of-contact freezes—sustain uncertainty, with no major summits or breakthroughs scheduled before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$14,068,338 Vol.
$14,068,338 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
Sì
$14,068,338 Vol.
$14,068,338 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite a short-lived 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12. Both sides accused each other of thousands of violations during the pause, with the Kremlin refusing extension absent Kyiv's concessions on core demands like territorial control, blocking de-escalation. Recent US-Ukraine-Russia Geneva meetings yielded Zelenskyy signals of limited progress amid political stalemate, while Russian advances grind slowly in the east and Ukrainian counteractions hold in the southeast. Prisoner swaps preceded the truce, but incompatible negotiating positions—Russia rejecting line-of-contact freezes—sustain uncertainty, with no major summits or breakthroughs scheduled before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$14,068,338Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite a short-lived 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12. Both sides accused each other of thousands of violations during the pause, with the Kremlin refusing extension absent Kyiv's concessions on core demands like territorial control, blocking de-escalation. Recent US-Ukraine-Russia Geneva meetings yielded Zelenskyy signals of limited progress amid political stalemate, while Russian advances grind slowly in the east and Ukrainian counteractions hold in the southeast. Prisoner swaps preceded the truce, but incompatible negotiating positions—Russia rejecting line-of-contact freezes—sustain uncertainty, with no major summits or breakthroughs scheduled before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$14,068,338Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 70.5% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end-2026, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite a short-lived 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12. Both sides accused each other of thousands of violations during the pause, with the Kremlin refusing extension absent Kyiv's concessions on core demands like territorial control, blocking de-escalation. Recent US-Ukraine-Russia Geneva meetings yielded Zelenskyy signals of limited progress amid political stalemate, while Russian advances grind slowly in the east and Ukrainian counteractions hold in the southeast. Prisoner swaps preceded the truce, but incompatible negotiating positions—Russia rejecting line-of-contact freezes—sustain uncertainty, with no major summits or breakthroughs scheduled before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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