Traders view Google and Anthropic as the clearest frontrunners for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by November's end, with market-implied odds of 28.5% and 25.5% reflecting their edge in large language model reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini updates have shown measurable gains on complex math tasks through improved chain-of-thought and tool-use integration, while Anthropic's Claude models maintain strength via targeted post-training that enhances accuracy without sacrificing safety constraints. OpenAI sits at 14% amid anticipation for next GPT iterations, yet the crowded field—spanning specialized labs like Moonshot and Alibaba—creates tight competition where small benchmark shifts or new model releases could quickly alter positioning ahead of the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSecondo miglior Text Arena Math AI Lab a fine novembre?
Google 29%
Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 14%
Moonshot 10%

29%

Anthropic
26%

OpenAI
14%

Moonshot
10%

Alibaba
9%

Z.ai
8%

Meta
7%

Tencent
5%

SpaceXAI
5%

Nvidia
5%

Mistral
4%

ByteDance
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Xiaomi
4%

Baidu
4%

Thinky
4%

MiniMax
4%

Meituan
4%

Microsoft
4%

Amazon
3%

StepFun
7%
Google 29%
Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 14%
Moonshot 10%

29%

Anthropic
26%

OpenAI
14%

Moonshot
10%

Alibaba
9%

Z.ai
8%

Meta
7%

Tencent
5%

SpaceXAI
5%

Nvidia
5%

Mistral
4%

ByteDance
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Xiaomi
4%

Baidu
4%

Thinky
4%

MiniMax
4%

Meituan
4%

Microsoft
4%

Amazon
3%

StepFun
7%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Google and Anthropic as the clearest frontrunners for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by November's end, with market-implied odds of 28.5% and 25.5% reflecting their edge in large language model reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini updates have shown measurable gains on complex math tasks through improved chain-of-thought and tool-use integration, while Anthropic's Claude models maintain strength via targeted post-training that enhances accuracy without sacrificing safety constraints. OpenAI sits at 14% amid anticipation for next GPT iterations, yet the crowded field—spanning specialized labs like Moonshot and Alibaba—creates tight competition where small benchmark shifts or new model releases could quickly alter positioning ahead of the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti