SpaceX’s recent SEC filings and roadshow announcements, including a fixed $135 per share target that implies a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation for the June 12 Nasdaq listing (ticker SPCX), anchor trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00 trillion range. The all-primary offering aims to raise $75 billion, positioning the company at roughly 70–94 times trailing 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion amid Starlink growth and Starship development. While some independent valuations, such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted cash flow estimate, highlight elevated multiples and execution risks, market-implied odds reflect the company’s disclosed pricing intent and momentum toward the largest IPO on record. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing and any last-minute demand signals during the roadshow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale sarà la valutazione dell'IPO di SpaceX?
1,75-2,00T 81%
2,00-2,25 T 13%
1,50-1,75T 3.9%
2,25-2,50T 1.6%
$188,804 Vol.
$188,804 Vol.
<1,25T
1%
1,25-1,50T
1%
1,50-1,75T
4%
1,75-2,00T
81%
2,00-2,25 T
13%
2,25-2,50T
2%
2,50T+
1%
1,75-2,00T 81%
2,00-2,25 T 13%
1,50-1,75T 3.9%
2,25-2,50T 1.6%
$188,804 Vol.
$188,804 Vol.
<1,25T
1%
1,25-1,50T
1%
1,50-1,75T
4%
1,75-2,00T
81%
2,00-2,25 T
13%
2,25-2,50T
2%
2,50T+
1%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent SEC filings and roadshow announcements, including a fixed $135 per share target that implies a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation for the June 12 Nasdaq listing (ticker SPCX), anchor trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00 trillion range. The all-primary offering aims to raise $75 billion, positioning the company at roughly 70–94 times trailing 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion amid Starlink growth and Starship development. While some independent valuations, such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted cash flow estimate, highlight elevated multiples and execution risks, market-implied odds reflect the company’s disclosed pricing intent and momentum toward the largest IPO on record. Key near-term catalysts include final pricing and any last-minute demand signals during the roadshow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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