Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, closely tracking recent reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 targeting around $1.75 trillion, swiftly raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg on April 2 amid plans to raise up to $75 billion. This positioning reflects surging Starlink revenue—projected at $23.8 billion for 2026 from 4 million subscribers—coupled with SpaceX's launch dominance (more payload mass than all competitors combined in 2025) and Starship milestones enhancing growth narrative. Lower buckets like $1.25-1.50 trillion at 16.9% account for potential market volatility, while upside tails above $2.25 trillion remain slim at under 10% absent further catalysts; pricing and roadshow details expected soon ahead of a potential June listing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale sarà la valutazione dell'IPO di SpaceX?
Quale sarà la valutazione dell'IPO di SpaceX?
1,75-2,00T 56%
2,00-2,25 T 18%
1,50-1,75T 10.9%
2,25-2,50T 6.6%
$126,634 Vol.
$126,634 Vol.
<1,25T
4%
1,25-1,50T
18%
1,50-1,75T
6%
1,75-2,00T
56%
2,00-2,25 T
13%
2,25-2,50T
7%
2,50T+
3%
1,75-2,00T 56%
2,00-2,25 T 18%
1,50-1,75T 10.9%
2,25-2,50T 6.6%
$126,634 Vol.
$126,634 Vol.
<1,25T
$58,764 Vol.
4%
1,25-1,50T
$15,845 Vol.
18%
1,50-1,75T
$8,028 Vol.
6%
1,75-2,00T
$10,921 Vol.
56%
2,00-2,25 T
$13,052 Vol.
13%
2,25-2,50T
$9,727 Vol.
7%
2,50T+
$10,296 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, closely tracking recent reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 targeting around $1.75 trillion, swiftly raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg on April 2 amid plans to raise up to $75 billion. This positioning reflects surging Starlink revenue—projected at $23.8 billion for 2026 from 4 million subscribers—coupled with SpaceX's launch dominance (more payload mass than all competitors combined in 2025) and Starship milestones enhancing growth narrative. Lower buckets like $1.25-1.50 trillion at 16.9% account for potential market volatility, while upside tails above $2.25 trillion remain slim at under 10% absent further catalysts; pricing and roadshow details expected soon ahead of a potential June listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$126,634Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, closely tracking recent reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 targeting around $1.75 trillion, swiftly raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg on April 2 amid plans to raise up to $75 billion. This positioning reflects surging Starlink revenue—projected at $23.8 billion for 2026 from 4 million subscribers—coupled with SpaceX's launch dominance (more payload mass than all competitors combined in 2025) and Starship milestones enhancing growth narrative. Lower buckets like $1.25-1.50 trillion at 16.9% account for potential market volatility, while upside tails above $2.25 trillion remain slim at under 10% absent further catalysts; pricing and roadshow details expected soon ahead of a potential June listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$126,634Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, closely tracking recent reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 targeting around $1.75 trillion, swiftly raised above $2 trillion per Bloomberg on April 2 amid plans to raise up to $75 billion. This positioning reflects surging Starlink revenue—projected at $23.8 billion for 2026 from 4 million subscribers—coupled with SpaceX's launch dominance (more payload mass than all competitors combined in 2025) and Starship milestones enhancing growth narrative. Lower buckets like $1.25-1.50 trillion at 16.9% account for potential market volatility, while upside tails above $2.25 trillion remain slim at under 10% absent further catalysts; pricing and roadshow details expected soon ahead of a potential June listing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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