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Politica·Trump

Chi ha visitato l'isola di Epstein?

Market icon
Politica·Trump

Chi ha visitato l'isola di Epstein?

$1,752,879 Vol.

30 giu 2026
Polymarket

$1,752,879 Vol.

Polymarket

Steven Tisch

$5,005 Vol.

16%

Deepak Chopra

$13,333 Vol.

11%

Steve Bannon

$59,777 Vol.

11%

Woody Allen

$14,810 Vol.

11%

Noam Chomsky

$26,230 Vol.

8%

Kevin Spacey

$32,418 Vol.

7%

Bill Gates

$110,741 Vol.

6%

Donald Trump

$140,414 Vol.

5%

Bill Clinton

$276,334 Vol.

5%

Harvey Weinstein

$20,017 Vol.

5%

Bill Cosby

$12,635 Vol.

4%

Jay-Z

$580,499 Vol.

3%

Michael Jackson

$158,082 Vol.

3%

Peter Attia

$7,680 Vol.

3%

Hillary Clinton

$44,455 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$83,458 Vol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$38,686 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for confirmed visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, with Steven Tisch leading at around 15-18% implied odds for Yes resolution by June 30, 2026, followed by Deepak Chopra, Steve Bannon, Kevin Spacey, and Woody Allen near 11%, amid high trading volume exceeding $1.7 million. This stems from the DOJ's January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which included emails referencing planned trips and contacts for these figures but no new flight logs, photographs, or sworn testimony verifying physical presence. Recent House Oversight Committee tensions, including former Attorney General Pam Bondi's refusal to comply with a subpoena on file handling as of April 15, underscore ongoing congressional scrutiny that could yield further disclosures, though no breakthroughs have shifted odds significantly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,752,879
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for confirmed visits to Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, with Steven Tisch leading at around 15-18% implied odds for Yes resolution by June 30, 2026, followed by Deepak Chopra, Steve Bannon, Kevin Spacey, and Woody Allen near 11%, amid high trading volume exceeding $1.7 million. This stems from the DOJ's January 2026 release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which included emails referencing planned trips and contacts for these figures but no new flight logs, photographs, or sworn testimony verifying physical presence. Recent House Oversight Committee tensions, including former Attorney General Pam Bondi's refusal to comply with a subpoena on file handling as of April 15, underscore ongoing congressional scrutiny that could yield further disclosures, though no breakthroughs have shifted odds significantly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,752,879
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi ha visitato l'isola di Epstein?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 18 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Richard Branson" a 100%, seguito da "Steven Tisch" a 16%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi ha visitato l'isola di Epstein?" ha generato $1.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 12, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi ha visitato l'isola di Epstein?", esplora i 18 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi ha visitato l'isola di Epstein?" è "Richard Branson" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Steven Tisch" a 16%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi ha visitato l'isola di Epstein?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.