Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of official announcements or diplomatic scheduling since their August 2025 Alaska summit, which yielded no Ukraine ceasefire. Subsequent efforts stalled with Putin rejecting U.S. peace proposals in December 2025 and a planned Budapest meeting canceled in October 2025, amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine territorial disputes and failed negotiations. Recent phone discussions, including Trump's March 2026 call easing select oil sanctions, have not advanced summit plans, while Putin faces ICC arrest warrant constraints on travel to most sites. Divergent foreign policy priorities—U.S. focus on Iran tensions and domestic agenda—further dim near-term prospects, keeping location-specific odds minimal despite neutral venue speculation like Switzerland or Gulf states.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessun incontro entro il 30 giugno 78.5%
Cina 4.3%
Russia 4.2%
Altro paese dell'UE 2.6%
$4,943,709 Vol.
$4,943,709 Vol.
Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno
78%
Cina
4%
Russia
4%
Altro paese dell'UE
3%
Paese del Golfo
2%
Altro
2%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Svizzera
1%
Bielorussia
1%
Ucraina
<1%
Finlandia
<1%
Giappone
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno 78.5%
Cina 4.3%
Russia 4.2%
Altro paese dell'UE 2.6%
$4,943,709 Vol.
$4,943,709 Vol.
Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno
78%
Cina
4%
Russia
4%
Altro paese dell'UE
3%
Paese del Golfo
2%
Altro
2%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Svizzera
1%
Bielorussia
1%
Ucraina
<1%
Finlandia
<1%
Giappone
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of official announcements or diplomatic scheduling since their August 2025 Alaska summit, which yielded no Ukraine ceasefire. Subsequent efforts stalled with Putin rejecting U.S. peace proposals in December 2025 and a planned Budapest meeting canceled in October 2025, amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine territorial disputes and failed negotiations. Recent phone discussions, including Trump's March 2026 call easing select oil sanctions, have not advanced summit plans, while Putin faces ICC arrest warrant constraints on travel to most sites. Divergent foreign policy priorities—U.S. focus on Iran tensions and domestic agenda—further dim near-term prospects, keeping location-specific odds minimal despite neutral venue speculation like Switzerland or Gulf states.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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