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icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanza·Business

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanza·Business

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$153,077 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$153,077 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$27,526 Vol.

6%

Frontier Airlines

$36,105 Vol.

14%

Allegiant

$38,433 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$18,168 Vol.

2%

Alaska Airlines

$32,844 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, represent the dominant catalyst pressuring airline balance sheets heading into year-end 2026. Spot prices have surged roughly 69% year-over-year, pushing fuel to over 30% of operating costs for many carriers and eroding margins despite resilient passenger demand. This has prompted major U.S. airlines to trim capacity growth and revise earnings guidance lower, with American Airlines alone citing an incremental $1 billion fourth-quarter fuel hit. AirBaltic's September 14 Chapter 11 filing in New York, backed by €350 million in debtor-in-possession financing, highlights liquidity strains for operators with limited hedges, high lease obligations, and exposure to route disruptions. Traders are monitoring further filings through December 31 amid ongoing fuel volatility and potential last-minute restructurings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$153,077
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, represent the dominant catalyst pressuring airline balance sheets heading into year-end 2026. Spot prices have surged roughly 69% year-over-year, pushing fuel to over 30% of operating costs for many carriers and eroding margins despite resilient passenger demand. This has prompted major U.S. airlines to trim capacity growth and revise earnings guidance lower, with American Airlines alone citing an incremental $1 billion fourth-quarter fuel hit. AirBaltic's September 14 Chapter 11 filing in New York, backed by €350 million in debtor-in-possession financing, highlights liquidity strains for operators with limited hedges, high lease obligations, and exposure to route disruptions. Traders are monitoring further filings through December 31 amid ongoing fuel volatility and potential last-minute restructurings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$153,077
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Domande frequenti

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Frontier Airlines" a 14%, seguito da "JetBlue" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 14¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" ha generato $153.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" è "Frontier Airlines" a 14%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "JetBlue" a 6%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.