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Politica·Trump

Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

Market icon
Politica·Trump

Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?

$202,415 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$202,415 Vol.

Polymarket

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

65%

Stefan Brodie

$0 Vol.

61%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

60%

Daniel Penny

$11 Vol.

35%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,206 Vol.

29%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

24%

Ryan Salame

$15,172 Vol.

23%

Steve Bannon

$6,140 Vol.

22%

Roger Ver

$0 Vol.

16%

Eric Adams

$76 Vol.

15%

Edward Snowden

$1,755 Vol.

14%

Young Thug

$4,105 Vol.

14%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,001 Vol.

12%

Julian Assange

$1,506 Vol.

10%

Martin Shkreli

$18,442 Vol.

10%

Nicolás Maduro

$5,990 Vol.

10%

Joe Exotic

$330 Vol.

9%

Bob Menendez

$0 Vol.

17%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$35,094 Vol.

8%

Se stesso

$2,458 Vol.

7%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$9,641 Vol.

6%

Elon Musk

$49,096 Vol.

6%

Do Kwon

$15,890 Vol.

6%

Diddy

$6,554 Vol.

6%

Derek Chauvin

$17,901 Vol.

5%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

5%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire brothers Stefan Brodie (70%) and Donald Brodie (60%) as top candidates for a Trump pardon before 2027, driven by their multimillion-dollar donations to Trump fundraisers like White House ballroom events and prior rejection of their Biden-era clemency applications for sanctions violations. President Trump's aggressive pardon record since January 2025—including mass clemency for over 1,500 January 6 defendants, anti-abortion activists, and more than 140 others by late 2025—reflects a pattern favoring political donors and allies amid ongoing DOJ probes. Recent reports from early April 2026 indicate Trump promising sweeping preemptive pardons to White House staff fearing prosecution, boosting expectations for executive action without scheduled hearings or deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$202,415
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire brothers Stefan Brodie (70%) and Donald Brodie (60%) as top candidates for a Trump pardon before 2027, driven by their multimillion-dollar donations to Trump fundraisers like White House ballroom events and prior rejection of their Biden-era clemency applications for sanctions violations. President Trump's aggressive pardon record since January 2025—including mass clemency for over 1,500 January 6 defendants, anti-abortion activists, and more than 140 others by late 2025—reflects a pattern favoring political donors and allies amid ongoing DOJ probes. Recent reports from early April 2026 indicate Trump promising sweeping preemptive pardons to White House staff fearing prosecution, boosting expectations for executive action without scheduled hearings or deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$202,415
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 27 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Matt Gaetz" a 65%, seguito da "Stefan Brodie" a 61%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 65¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" ha generato $202.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?", esplora i 27 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" è "Matt Gaetz" a 65%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Stefan Brodie" a 61%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi perdonerà Trump prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.