James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and prediction-market pricing. A July 27 court ruling rejected Lt. Gov. Jay Collins’ residency challenge, keeping Fishback on the ballot and allowing any votes cast for him to count toward delegate or vote-share outcomes. Recent developments include criticism from Trump-aligned figures over campaign style and associations, alongside Fishback’s emphasis on signature policy pledges. Primary-night results and any public statements from the candidate or campaign will shape expectations around concession timing, as historical patterns in contested state primaries show most trailing candidates conceding within days of certified outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJames Fishback concederà entro...?
James Fishback concederà entro...?
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
18 agosto
36%
19 agosto
60%
20 agosto
55%
$204 Vol.
18 agosto
$4 Vol.
36%
19 agosto
$200 Vol.
60%
20 agosto
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and prediction-market pricing. A July 27 court ruling rejected Lt. Gov. Jay Collins’ residency challenge, keeping Fishback on the ballot and allowing any votes cast for him to count toward delegate or vote-share outcomes. Recent developments include criticism from Trump-aligned figures over campaign style and associations, alongside Fishback’s emphasis on signature policy pledges. Primary-night results and any public statements from the candidate or campaign will shape expectations around concession timing, as historical patterns in contested state primaries show most trailing candidates conceding within days of certified outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volume
$204Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and prediction-market pricing. A July 27 court ruling rejected Lt. Gov. Jay Collins’ residency challenge, keeping Fishback on the ballot and allowing any votes cast for him to count toward delegate or vote-share outcomes. Recent developments include criticism from Trump-aligned figures over campaign style and associations, alongside Fishback’s emphasis on signature policy pledges. Primary-night results and any public statements from the candidate or campaign will shape expectations around concession timing, as historical patterns in contested state primaries show most trailing candidates conceding within days of certified outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Volume
$204Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and prediction-market pricing. A July 27 court ruling rejected Lt. Gov. Jay Collins’ residency challenge, keeping Fishback on the ballot and allowing any votes cast for him to count toward delegate or vote-share outcomes. Recent developments include criticism from Trump-aligned figures over campaign style and associations, alongside Fishback’s emphasis on signature policy pledges. Primary-night results and any public statements from the candidate or campaign will shape expectations around concession timing, as historical patterns in contested state primaries show most trailing candidates conceding within days of certified outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
James Fishback otterrà meno del 10% dei voti nelle primarie repubblicane per il governatore della Florida?
49%
Sì
Byron Donalds vincerà le primarie repubblicane per il governatore della Florida con almeno il 40% di vantaggio?
47%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni per il governatore della Florida del 2026 con un margine dal 9% al 12%?
42%
Sì
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