Skip to main content
icon for Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
Politica·Midterms

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

icon for Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
Politica·Midterms

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

94% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
94% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada voters approved the citizen-initiated constitutional amendment establishing a right to abortion until fetal viability in 2024 by a 64-36 margin. State law requires such measures to secure majority support in two consecutive general elections for ratification, placing the identical Question 6 on the November 2026 ballot. With no major shifts in polling, organized opposition, or legislative action reported since the first vote, traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to passage, reflecting the precedent of durable voter backing for reproductive rights protections and the limited window for reversal before the deadline. Upcoming factors include any late-cycle developments in the 2026 election cycle that could influence turnout among key demographics.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volume
$382
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada voters approved the citizen-initiated constitutional amendment establishing a right to abortion until fetal viability in 2024 by a 64-36 margin. State law requires such measures to secure majority support in two consecutive general elections for ratification, placing the identical Question 6 on the November 2026 ballot. With no major shifts in polling, organized opposition, or legislative action reported since the first vote, traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to passage, reflecting the precedent of durable voter backing for reproductive rights protections and the limited window for reversal before the deadline. Upcoming factors include any late-cycle developments in the 2026 election cycle that could influence turnout among key demographics.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volume
$382
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 94% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 94¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Mar 2, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" è 94% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 94% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.