Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark's decisive primary victory on September 1, with roughly 74 percent of the vote, has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Massachusetts's 5th congressional district. The seat covers eastern Massachusetts suburbs and portions of Cambridge, where consistent Democratic performance, limited Republican organization, and favorable district composition have produced large historical margins. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The 96.7 percent implied probability for Democrats reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MA-05
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MA-05
$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
97%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$26,760 Vol.
97%
Partito Repubblicano
$10,511 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark's decisive primary victory on September 1, with roughly 74 percent of the vote, has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Massachusetts's 5th congressional district. The seat covers eastern Massachusetts suburbs and portions of Cambridge, where consistent Democratic performance, limited Republican organization, and favorable district composition have produced large historical margins. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The 96.7 percent implied probability for Democrats reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,271Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark's decisive primary victory on September 1, with roughly 74 percent of the vote, has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Massachusetts's 5th congressional district. The seat covers eastern Massachusetts suburbs and portions of Cambridge, where consistent Democratic performance, limited Republican organization, and favorable district composition have produced large historical margins. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The 96.7 percent implied probability for Democrats reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,271Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Katherine Clark's decisive primary victory on September 1, with roughly 74 percent of the vote, has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Massachusetts's 5th congressional district. The seat covers eastern Massachusetts suburbs and portions of Cambridge, where consistent Democratic performance, limited Republican organization, and favorable district composition have produced large historical margins. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The 96.7 percent implied probability for Democrats reflects this entrenched advantage and the absence of competitive Republican candidates or recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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