Canada’s 46th Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government formed by Prime Minister Mark Carney after the April 2025 minority result and subsequent by-election gains plus floor crossings that secured a working majority by April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled contest for 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate fiscal or confidence crisis and recent polling stability favoring the government, trader pricing for an early writ reflects low near-term probability absent sudden economic shocks, leadership changes, or parliamentary defections. Provincial contests in Quebec and British Columbia this fall offer limited read-through for federal timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$92,564 Vol.
2026/12/31
2026年12月31日
7%
$92,564 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$907 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 46th Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government formed by Prime Minister Mark Carney after the April 2025 minority result and subsequent by-election gains plus floor crossings that secured a working majority by April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled contest for 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate fiscal or confidence crisis and recent polling stability favoring the government, trader pricing for an early writ reflects low near-term probability absent sudden economic shocks, leadership changes, or parliamentary defections. Provincial contests in Quebec and British Columbia this fall offer limited read-through for federal timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
音量
$92,564終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 46th Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government formed by Prime Minister Mark Carney after the April 2025 minority result and subsequent by-election gains plus floor crossings that secured a working majority by April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled contest for 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate fiscal or confidence crisis and recent polling stability favoring the government, trader pricing for an early writ reflects low near-term probability absent sudden economic shocks, leadership changes, or parliamentary defections. Provincial contests in Quebec and British Columbia this fall offer limited read-through for federal timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$92,564終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s 46th Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government formed by Prime Minister Mark Carney after the April 2025 minority result and subsequent by-election gains plus floor crossings that secured a working majority by April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled contest for 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate fiscal or confidence crisis and recent polling stability favoring the government, trader pricing for an early writ reflects low near-term probability absent sudden economic shocks, leadership changes, or parliamentary defections. Provincial contests in Quebec and British Columbia this fall offer limited read-through for federal timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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