Latest meteorological forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com project a daytime maximum near 28°C for Ankara on August 17, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–28°C. Ankara’s continental climate at roughly 900 m elevation typically yields August highs of 30–31°C, yet current guidance indicates slightly suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and possible late-day isolated thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. Model consensus remains the dominant factor distinguishing the 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with small variations in timing of any moisture or wind shifts able to tip the recorded high. Traders weigh these short-range updates heavily as resolution nears, recognizing inherent forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のアンカラの最高気温は?
28°C 35%
27°C 33%
26°C 16%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
33%
28°C
35%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
27°C 33%
26°C 16%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
33%
28°C
35%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest meteorological forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com project a daytime maximum near 28°C for Ankara on August 17, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–28°C. Ankara’s continental climate at roughly 900 m elevation typically yields August highs of 30–31°C, yet current guidance indicates slightly suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and possible late-day isolated thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. Model consensus remains the dominant factor distinguishing the 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with small variations in timing of any moisture or wind shifts able to tip the recorded high. Traders weigh these short-range updates heavily as resolution nears, recognizing inherent forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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