Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest air temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 29°C at the King's Park station, using calibrated thermometers in standard Stevenson screens, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with hourly readings showing peaks near 29°C amid mainly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and moderate easterly winds suppressing extremes beyond seasonal norms for late April, where mean maximums typically hover around 27–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, revisions are exceedingly rare post-initial verification; only an official HKO audit uncovering a higher reading at another station or data anomaly could challenge it, though current reports across sites like Kowloon City show no such exceedance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 28?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$550,032 Vol.
$550,032 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$550,032 Vol.
$550,032 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 26, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest air temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 29°C at the King's Park station, using calibrated thermometers in standard Stevenson screens, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with hourly readings showing peaks near 29°C amid mainly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and moderate easterly winds suppressing extremes beyond seasonal norms for late April, where mean maximums typically hover around 27–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, revisions are exceedingly rare post-initial verification; only an official HKO audit uncovering a higher reading at another station or data anomaly could challenge it, though current reports across sites like Kowloon City show no such exceedance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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