Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and Kew Gardens, recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 28, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders await final verification for resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Met Office and BBC Weather, which projected daytime peaks of 16–17°C amid morning drizzle, partial cloud cover, and fresh north-easterly winds of 14–15 mph that capped solar heating despite brief sunny spells around 3–5 p.m. Late-April climatological averages of 15–16°C highs provided baseline support following the early-month heatwave exceeding 26°C. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions from quality checks or overlooked urban heat island readings, though verified agency data rarely shifts post-publication.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 28?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$165,685 Vol.
$165,685 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$165,685 Vol.
$165,685 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 26, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and Kew Gardens, recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on April 28, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders await final verification for resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Met Office and BBC Weather, which projected daytime peaks of 16–17°C amid morning drizzle, partial cloud cover, and fresh north-easterly winds of 14–15 mph that capped solar heating despite brief sunny spells around 3–5 p.m. Late-April climatological averages of 15–16°C highs provided baseline support following the early-month heatwave exceeding 26°C. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions from quality checks or overlooked urban heat island readings, though verified agency data rarely shifts post-publication.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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