Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のマニラの最高気温は？
9月9日のマニラの最高気温は？
29°C 33%
28℃ 24%
30°C 19%
27℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
3%
26℃
4%
27℃
11%
28℃
24%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31℃
7%
32°C
2%
33°C以上
1%
29°C 33%
28℃ 24%
30°C 19%
27℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
23℃以下
$240 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$240 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$50 Vol.
3%
26℃
$84 Vol.
4%
27℃
$12 Vol.
11%
28℃
$132 Vol.
24%
29°C
$6 Vol.
33%
30°C
$352 Vol.
19%
31℃
$12 Vol.
7%
32°C
$1 Vol.
2%
33°C以上
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$1,274終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,274終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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