Forecast consensus for Seattle's September 9 minimum centers on mid-50s Fahrenheit, with 54-55°F and 56-57°F bins each holding 34.5% market-implied odds, driven by clear skies and northerly flow under high pressure promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with dew points near 12-13°C and light winds limiting mixing, aligning closely with the 54.2°F climatological average low for the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these outcomes against potential minor forecast adjustments from final National Weather Service updates before resolution, while lower-probability bins reflect limited downside risk absent incoming moisture or cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のシアトルの最低気温は？
9月9日のシアトルの最低気温は？
54～55°F 31%
56～57°F 31%
52～53°F 27%
60〜61°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
47°F以下
1%
48～49°F
1%
50〜51°F
10%
52～53°F
27%
54～55°F
31%
56～57°F
31%
58〜59°F
10%
60〜61°F
15%
62〜63°F
1%
64〜65°F
4%
66°F以上
5%
54～55°F 31%
56～57°F 31%
52～53°F 27%
60〜61°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
47°F以下
$20 Vol.
1%
48～49°F
$42 Vol.
1%
50〜51°F
$0 Vol.
10%
52～53°F
$0 Vol.
27%
54～55°F
$0 Vol.
31%
56～57°F
$0 Vol.
31%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
10%
60〜61°F
$42 Vol.
15%
62〜63°F
$42 Vol.
1%
64〜65°F
$82 Vol.
4%
66°F以上
$28 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus for Seattle's September 9 minimum centers on mid-50s Fahrenheit, with 54-55°F and 56-57°F bins each holding 34.5% market-implied odds, driven by clear skies and northerly flow under high pressure promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with dew points near 12-13°C and light winds limiting mixing, aligning closely with the 54.2°F climatological average low for the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these outcomes against potential minor forecast adjustments from final National Weather Service updates before resolution, while lower-probability bins reflect limited downside risk absent incoming moisture or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$255終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus for Seattle's September 9 minimum centers on mid-50s Fahrenheit, with 54-55°F and 56-57°F bins each holding 34.5% market-implied odds, driven by clear skies and northerly flow under high pressure promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with dew points near 12-13°C and light winds limiting mixing, aligning closely with the 54.2°F climatological average low for the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these outcomes against potential minor forecast adjustments from final National Weather Service updates before resolution, while lower-probability bins reflect limited downside risk absent incoming moisture or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$255終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETForecast consensus for Seattle's September 9 minimum centers on mid-50s Fahrenheit, with 54-55°F and 56-57°F bins each holding 34.5% market-implied odds, driven by clear skies and northerly flow under high pressure promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with dew points near 12-13°C and light winds limiting mixing, aligning closely with the 54.2°F climatological average low for the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between these outcomes against potential minor forecast adjustments from final National Weather Service updates before resolution, while lower-probability bins reflect limited downside risk absent incoming moisture or cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問