**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
9月9日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
16°C 100%
11°C以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$1,662 Vol.
$1,662 Vol.
2026/09/09
11°C以下
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
はい
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃以上
いいえ
16°C 100%
11°C以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$1,662 Vol.
$1,662 Vol.
2026/09/09
11°C以下
$83 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$64 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$30 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$38 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$73 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$549 Vol.
はい
17℃
$75 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$239 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$119 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$189 Vol.
いいえ
21℃以上
$205 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
音量
$1,662終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,662終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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