**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
9月9日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25°C以上 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 7%
22℃ 2%
新規
$11,798 Vol.
新規
$11,798 Vol.
2026/09/09
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
47%
25°C以上
49%
25°C以上 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 7%
22℃ 2%
新規
$11,798 Vol.
新規
$11,798 Vol.
2026/09/09
15℃以下
$125 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$125 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,418 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$884 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,307 Vol.
7%
24°C
$4,060 Vol.
47%
25°C以上
$2,792 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$11,798終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,798終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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