Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly flow that limits overnight radiational cooling. High humidity and a risk of thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops compared to the 15°C climatological average low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 14°C or below, accounts for forecast uncertainty and potential localized cooling, while probabilities cluster around 17–19°C outcomes amid stable model agreement on mild conditions. Updated observations early on September 9 and any evening model revisions could refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月9日のトロントの最低気温は？
14℃以下 80%
20℃ 30%
21°C 30%
17℃ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
14℃以下
80%
15℃
1%
16℃
26%
17℃
29%
18℃
13%
19°C
29%
20℃
30%
21°C
30%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C以上
<1%
14℃以下 80%
20℃ 30%
21°C 30%
17℃ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
14℃以下
$56 Vol.
80%
15℃
$25 Vol.
1%
16℃
$18 Vol.
26%
17℃
$14 Vol.
29%
18℃
$60 Vol.
13%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20℃
$0 Vol.
30%
21°C
$0 Vol.
30%
22℃
$145 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
24°C以上
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly flow that limits overnight radiational cooling. High humidity and a risk of thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops compared to the 15°C climatological average low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 14°C or below, accounts for forecast uncertainty and potential localized cooling, while probabilities cluster around 17–19°C outcomes amid stable model agreement on mild conditions. Updated observations early on September 9 and any evening model revisions could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$537終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly flow that limits overnight radiational cooling. High humidity and a risk of thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops compared to the 15°C climatological average low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 14°C or below, accounts for forecast uncertainty and potential localized cooling, while probabilities cluster around 17–19°C outcomes amid stable model agreement on mild conditions. Updated observations early on September 9 and any evening model revisions could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$537終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly flow that limits overnight radiational cooling. High humidity and a risk of thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops compared to the 15°C climatological average low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 14°C or below, accounts for forecast uncertainty and potential localized cooling, while probabilities cluster around 17–19°C outcomes amid stable model agreement on mild conditions. Updated observations early on September 9 and any evening model revisions could refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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