Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles implying peaks of 25–28°C amid divergent cloud cover projections. The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) update from April 16 projects continued warm conditions in the Valle de México, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge aloft promoting daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where historical April highs average 26°C. However, instability from southern moisture influx risks scattered showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, differentiating outcomes; traders await fresh model runs and SMN briefings on April 17–18 for clarity on precipitation timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
26°C 26%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
28°C or higher 20%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
20%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C or higher
20%
26°C 26%
27°C 25%
25°C 20%
28°C or higher 20%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
18°C or below
$657 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$624 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$438 Vol.
1%
21°C
$331 Vol.
1%
22°C
$114 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,234 Vol.
3%
24°C
$257 Vol.
13%
25°C
$55 Vol.
20%
26°C
$634 Vol.
26%
27°C
$49 Vol.
25%
28°C or higher
$103 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles implying peaks of 25–28°C amid divergent cloud cover projections. The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) update from April 16 projects continued warm conditions in the Valle de México, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge aloft promoting daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where historical April highs average 26°C. However, instability from southern moisture influx risks scattered showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, differentiating outcomes; traders await fresh model runs and SMN briefings on April 17–18 for clarity on precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
音量
$4,497終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles implying peaks of 25–28°C amid divergent cloud cover projections. The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) update from April 16 projects continued warm conditions in the Valle de México, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge aloft promoting daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where historical April highs average 26°C. However, instability from southern moisture influx risks scattered showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, differentiating outcomes; traders await fresh model runs and SMN briefings on April 17–18 for clarity on precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,497終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles implying peaks of 25–28°C amid divergent cloud cover projections. The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) update from April 16 projects continued warm conditions in the Valle de México, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge aloft promoting daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where historical April highs average 26°C. However, instability from southern moisture influx risks scattered showers or increased cloudiness that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, differentiating outcomes; traders await fresh model runs and SMN briefings on April 17–18 for clarity on precipitation timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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