Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com point to daytime highs near 29°C for Qingdao on August 14, with ranges of 27–30°C reflecting model consensus on moderate conditions. Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea enables persistent sea breezes that suppress peak temperatures below inland norms, while expected overcast skies and light showers limit solar heating. Humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate the daily maximum. Trader consensus clusters on 29–31°C because current global and regional models show limited warming potential absent a clear-air ridge, with any shift in steering patterns or reduced precipitation likely to differentiate outcomes near the 30°C threshold. New ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の青島の最高気温は?
30°C 34%
29°C 25%
31°C 25%
32℃ 10%
26℃以下
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
25%
32℃
10%
33℃
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36℃以上
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 25%
31°C 25%
32℃ 10%
26℃以下
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
25%
32℃
10%
33℃
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com point to daytime highs near 29°C for Qingdao on August 14, with ranges of 27–30°C reflecting model consensus on moderate conditions. Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea enables persistent sea breezes that suppress peak temperatures below inland norms, while expected overcast skies and light showers limit solar heating. Humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate the daily maximum. Trader consensus clusters on 29–31°C because current global and regional models show limited warming potential absent a clear-air ridge, with any shift in steering patterns or reduced precipitation likely to differentiate outcomes near the 30°C threshold. New ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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