Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月18日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
4月18日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 Vol.
$38,954 Vol.
2026/04/18
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 Vol.
$38,954 Vol.
2026/04/18
49°F or below
$1,207 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,082 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,337 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$2,635 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,885 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,991 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,763 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,342 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$3,956 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$6,135 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$8,622 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
音量
$38,954終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$38,954終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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