Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 3, 2026, indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean summer. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports this range, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk favoring modest daytime warming without extreme amplification. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 33–35°C because small shifts in the timing of sea breezes or urban heat retention can alter the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. As the date approaches, updated ensemble runs from the Israel Meteorological Service will likely refine these probabilities by clarifying boundary-layer conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
34°C 54%
33°C 25%
35°C 19%
32°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
25%
34°C
54%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 25%
35°C 19%
32°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
25%
34°C
54%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 3, 2026, indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean summer. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate supports this range, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk favoring modest daytime warming without extreme amplification. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 33–35°C because small shifts in the timing of sea breezes or urban heat retention can alter the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. As the date approaches, updated ensemble runs from the Israel Meteorological Service will likely refine these probabilities by clarifying boundary-layer conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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