Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, position a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This aligns with the market's 67.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge rather than any transient systems. With minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, temperatures are expected to peak in the early afternoon before moderating overnight, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs often reach the low 30s°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
33°C 68%
34°C 26%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
68%
34°C
26%
35°C
3%
36℃
1%
37℃
1%
38℃以上
1%
33°C 68%
34°C 26%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
68%
34°C
26%
35°C
3%
36℃
1%
37℃
1%
38℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, position a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. This aligns with the market's 67.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge rather than any transient systems. With minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, temperatures are expected to peak in the early afternoon before moderating overnight, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs often reach the low 30s°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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