Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and PredictWind indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 23–25°C, consistent with historical September averages around 23°C. The closely matched 37.5% market-implied probabilities on 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher highlight trader uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, influenced by variables such as wind patterns from the Mediterranean, humidity levels near 80%, and potential shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could alter the pre-dawn low. Mid-range outcomes around 21–25°C each carry 21–23% implied odds, underscoring model divergence and the sensitivity of minimum readings to local urban and coastal factors. Updated observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
9月15日のテルアビブの最低気温は？
19℃以下 78%
29°C以上 78%
20°C 39%
23℃ 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
19℃以下
78%
20°C
39%
21℃
22%
22°C
22%
23℃
23%
24℃
23%
25℃
22%
26℃
18%
27°C
15%
28℃
13%
29°C以上
78%
19℃以下 78%
29°C以上 78%
20°C 39%
23℃ 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
19℃以下
$101 Vol.
78%
20°C
$40 Vol.
39%
21℃
$21 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23℃
$0 Vol.
23%
24℃
$0 Vol.
23%
25℃
$0 Vol.
22%
26℃
$27 Vol.
18%
27°C
$29 Vol.
15%
28℃
$10 Vol.
13%
29°C以上
$10 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and PredictWind indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 23–25°C, consistent with historical September averages around 23°C. The closely matched 37.5% market-implied probabilities on 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher highlight trader uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, influenced by variables such as wind patterns from the Mediterranean, humidity levels near 80%, and potential shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could alter the pre-dawn low. Mid-range outcomes around 21–25°C each carry 21–23% implied odds, underscoring model divergence and the sensitivity of minimum readings to local urban and coastal factors. Updated observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$238終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and PredictWind indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 23–25°C, consistent with historical September averages around 23°C. The closely matched 37.5% market-implied probabilities on 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher highlight trader uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, influenced by variables such as wind patterns from the Mediterranean, humidity levels near 80%, and potential shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could alter the pre-dawn low. Mid-range outcomes around 21–25°C each carry 21–23% implied odds, underscoring model divergence and the sensitivity of minimum readings to local urban and coastal factors. Updated observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$238終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and PredictWind indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 15 near 23–25°C, consistent with historical September averages around 23°C. The closely matched 37.5% market-implied probabilities on 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher highlight trader uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, influenced by variables such as wind patterns from the Mediterranean, humidity levels near 80%, and potential shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing that could alter the pre-dawn low. Mid-range outcomes around 21–25°C each carry 21–23% implied odds, underscoring model divergence and the sensitivity of minimum readings to local urban and coastal factors. Updated observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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