Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ICON points to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 26 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. This range aligns with the market’s evenly distributed implied probabilities across 12–18°C, as small variations in cloud timing, frontal passage, or wind speed can shift the daily peak by several degrees. September climatology shows typical maxima near 15°C, but current conditions feature cooler marine air advection and limited insolation. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly those resolving local orographic effects around the harbor, will likely narrow the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15℃ 61%
17°C 29%
14°C 24%
16°C 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
1%
11℃
3%
12℃
17%
13℃
11%
14°C
24%
15℃
61%
16°C
22%
17°C
29%
18℃
13%
19℃以上
<1%
15℃ 61%
17°C 29%
14°C 24%
16°C 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
9°C以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$0 Vol.
1%
11℃
$0 Vol.
3%
12℃
$0 Vol.
17%
13℃
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
24%
15℃
$130 Vol.
61%
16°C
$10 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
29%
18℃
$0 Vol.
13%
19℃以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ICON points to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 26 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. This range aligns with the market’s evenly distributed implied probabilities across 12–18°C, as small variations in cloud timing, frontal passage, or wind speed can shift the daily peak by several degrees. September climatology shows typical maxima near 15°C, but current conditions feature cooler marine air advection and limited insolation. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly those resolving local orographic effects around the harbor, will likely narrow the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$141終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ICON points to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 26 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. This range aligns with the market’s evenly distributed implied probabilities across 12–18°C, as small variations in cloud timing, frontal passage, or wind speed can shift the daily peak by several degrees. September climatology shows typical maxima near 15°C, but current conditions feature cooler marine air advection and limited insolation. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly those resolving local orographic effects around the harbor, will likely narrow the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$141終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ICON points to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 26 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. This range aligns with the market’s evenly distributed implied probabilities across 12–18°C, as small variations in cloud timing, frontal passage, or wind speed can shift the daily peak by several degrees. September climatology shows typical maxima near 15°C, but current conditions feature cooler marine air advection and limited insolation. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, particularly those resolving local orographic effects around the harbor, will likely narrow the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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