Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 Vol.
$78,289 Vol.
2026/04/19
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 Vol.
$78,289 Vol.
2026/04/19
25°C or below
$1,796 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,607 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,871 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,032 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,637 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,022 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$6,372 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,278 Vol.
No
33°C
$12,644 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,597 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$2,432 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$78,289終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$78,289終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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