Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 Vol.
$85,697 Vol.
2026/04/29
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 Vol.
$85,697 Vol.
2026/04/29
16°C or below
$2,719 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,643 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,563 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,247 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,303 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$8,630 Vol.
No
22°C
$15,472 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,009 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,898 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,026 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$7,186 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
音量
$85,697終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$85,697終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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