Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 24 near 20–21°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heating, narrowing the diurnal range compared with clearer September baselines. High humidity and light northerly winds further stabilize readings around typical late-summer values rather than supporting extremes. Trader balance between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing ahead of the 24-hour resolution window, with new observational updates from regional stations likely to refine the consensus before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日の成都の最低気温は?
16℃以下 100%
26℃以上 98%
21℃ 44%
17°C 40%
16℃以下
100%
17°C
40%
18℃
40%
19℃
39%
20℃
40%
21℃
24%
22℃
40%
23℃
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26℃以上
98%
16℃以下 100%
26℃以上 98%
21℃ 44%
17°C 40%
16℃以下
100%
17°C
40%
18℃
40%
19℃
39%
20℃
40%
21℃
24%
22℃
40%
23℃
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26℃以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 24 near 20–21°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heating, narrowing the diurnal range compared with clearer September baselines. High humidity and light northerly winds further stabilize readings around typical late-summer values rather than supporting extremes. Trader balance between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing ahead of the 24-hour resolution window, with new observational updates from regional stations likely to refine the consensus before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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